Post thumbnail of Exiting Apple
29 December 2009
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Exiting Apple

I love Apple’s products, but that is no reason to fall in love with the stock. A couple of weeks ago I purchased a long term put spread for the portfolio (Jan ‘12, 250/200 1:2 ratio). I had intended to keep it for a while and let time decay work …

Post thumbnail of Betting on stagnation in 2010
22 December 2009
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Betting on stagnation in 2010

Looking at my crystal ball for 2010, I see a tug of war that exhausts the bulls and bears both and leaves the market near unchanged on the year. If that comes to pass, today’s trade will be golden. More importantly, however, if I am dead wrong this trade has …

Post thumbnail of End of the year Lotto ticket
21 December 2009
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End of the year Lotto ticket

Sorry I have been away for a couple of weeks. My wife and I just had our first child, and we are getting settled in for a spell of blissful indentured servitude. Everyone is home, happy and healthy — if a bit sleep deprived — so it’s back to work …

Post thumbnail of November options expiration
20 November 2009
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November options expiration

Things are pretty slow after a weak open on this expiration Friday. One trade that can work well here is to buy at the money straddles starting at around 11:00 AM, and hold them until 2 PM, or until they hit your profit target (don’t get too greedy on a …

Post thumbnail of Another Butterfly for the collection
13 November 2009
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Another Butterfly for the collection

Today’s trade is another long term butterfly spread. It shares the same characteristics as the trade from yesterday, except that the underlying stock is not nearly as volatile. This is more of a directional play, as I am expecting the money management business to remain strong absent another complete market …

Post thumbnail of Casting a wide net with FAS butterflies
11 November 2009
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Casting a wide net with FAS butterflies

I have been mostly sitting on my hands for the past couple of weeks as the market levitates on low volume, but that does not mean you should not go fishing. Today I caught a nice butterfly spread on the triple leveraged financial ETF (FAS). A butterfly call spread is …

Post thumbnail of What to do with a low volume rally
9 November 2009
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What to do with a low volume rally

Today was another glorious 200 point rally for the Dow. Happy days are here again? Given the very low volume  I’m  not convinced, but I have no interest in fighting the market either. Instead I used today to try and pare down my positions. Anything that gave me heartburn two …

Post thumbnail of Why Buffett really bought Burlington
6 November 2009
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Why Buffett really bought Burlington

With Warren Buffett plunking down 44 billion to buy Burlington Northern, many folks are examining the tea leaves and looking for the hidden meaning of the Oracle’s latest move. Economic cheerleaders (mostly in the MSM) were quick to call this a big vote of confidence in the economic recovery. They …

Post thumbnail of Dealing with a manic depressive market
30 October 2009
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Dealing with a manic depressive market

Today’s 249 point decline in the Dow, coming on the heels of yesterday’s 200 point rally, should leave many folks scratching their heads. What’s a trader to do? The short answer is: Pack up your marbles and go home. This is not a rational market, and the cross currents make …

Post thumbnail of Bye bye Blackstone…
29 October 2009
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Bye bye Blackstone…

The Blackstone covered call in the portfolio had been working quite nicely for us, but no more. Yesterday, on news that it was seeking to buy back debt on one of it’s properties the stock plunged 10%. Now, I think that this was an overreaction and I would guess that …

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